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The general consensus amongst many stock market analysts indicate that our economy might be headed into a recession.  As seen in past instances, the IPv4 transfer market tends to follow the the global stock market. With the stock market continuing to decline, so do the number of IPv4 transfer requests, which is a strong indicator of the current global IPv4 demand.

April 2022 transfer requests decreased to only 108, demonstrating another massive decrease of -37% as compared to March.  When looking at the average of 137 transfer requests in 2022, the decrease is still very significant at -21%.   Interestingly enough, the April & Mays average transfer requests are still 140 per month, which does align with what we have found to be the “new IPv4 norm” over the last 11 months.

In March of 2022, the total ARIN transfer requests increased to 172, which demonstrates an increase in demand of over +27% as compared to the previous 10-month average.  This swing in transfer requests is timely, as many people were starting to wonder if prices were going to start to fall due to decreased interest and demand for IPv4 addresses globally.

Starting on April 4th 2022, the ARIN-NONAUTH (not-authenticated) data stream will no longer be available using Near Real Time Mirroring (NRTM), File Transfer Protocol (FTP) or Whois Port 43. The outdated email template entry method will also be deprecated. So what does it mean for organizations IPv4 address objects which ONLY use the ARIN-NONAUTH database?

ARIN Replaces “ISP” and “End Users” Classifications. Toward the beginning of the year in 2021, ARIN created 2 separate client participation class called “General Members” and  “Service Members”.  They moved away from the historic classification of “ISP” vs “End Users” in an effort to encourage more organizations to have the opportunity to become ARIN members and partake in ARIN policy making.

What is IPv4 Geolocation?

IPv4 geolocation maps an IPv4 address to a specific geographic location based on the connected device. By geographically mapping the IP address, any user can determine the country, state, city, zip code, latitude/longitude, ISP, area code, and type of service it is being used for.

While we have had a strong run and increase in IPv4 demand over the previous 3-4 months, October seemed to have slowed down a bit.  The total number of IPv4 transfer requests in ARIN dropped to 143, which is down -16% from 171 requests in September and -12% from the 163 average requests over the course of 2021.

September IPv4 market trends have been very positive compared to what we saw as the average of the previous 3 months. Signs of life from IPv4 buyers are visible based on the increase of IPv4 transfers requested again from 167 in August to 171 in September.

The month of August 2021 seems to have finally showed a positive trend in the IPv4 transfer market. Figures for IPv4 transfers requested, indicating demand, and transfers completed, indicating supply, have returned to the values we saw at the beginning of the year.

The Cyberspace Administration of China plans to phase out IPv4 usage by implementing large scale IPv6 adoption in three stages ending in 2030. This could potentially impact the global IPv4 market as Chinese companies could sell off existing IPv4 addresses.