Starting on April 4th 2022, the ARIN-NONAUTH (not-authenticated) data stream will no longer be available using Near Real Time Mirroring (NRTM), File Transfer Protocol (FTP) or Whois Port 43. The outdated email template entry method will also be deprecated. So what does it mean for organizations IPv4 address objects which ONLY use the ARIN-NONAUTH database?
ARIN Replaces “ISP” and “End Users” Classifications. Toward the beginning of the year in 2021, ARIN created 2 separate client participation class called “General Members” and “Service Members”. They moved away from the historic classification of “ISP” vs “End Users” in an effort to encourage more organizations to have the opportunity to become ARIN members and partake in ARIN policy making.
As of February 2022, the IPv4 transfer market continues to show a stabilized trend as it relates to demand for IP transfers over the past 9 months. The transfer requests increased from 132 in January to 137 in February, demonstrating an insignificant increase of +4%. While the trend seems to be very consistent, there is still a -30% decrease of IPv4 transfer requests since the IPv4 crash in May of 2021.
2022 begins with a market stabilization, albeit much lower than just 1 year ago. ARIN’s IPv4 transfer requests for the month of January was 132 (as demonstrated by the dark blue bar graph below), which is still down -30% since the IPv4 crash in May of 2021. More importantly, transfer requests are still down -20% compared to the average of the last 3 years. It looks like the IPv4 transfer market has established the “New IPv4 Norm” as it relates to the demand on a monthly basis. So what does that mean for prices moving forward?
What is IPv4 Geolocation?
IPv4 geolocation maps an IPv4 address to a specific geographic location based on the connected device. By geographically mapping the IP address, any user can determine the country, state, city, zip code, latitude/longitude, ISP, area code, and type of service it is being used for.
Due to the volatility of the IPv4 transfer market in 2021, our team was eagerly waiting to see the results of the ARIN transfers from December to complete our analysis of the entire year. There could have been a few different predictions on where the IPv4 market would end up based on the limited market supply, COVID variants, ARDOF funds and the mysterious transfer of 175 million IP addresses by the U.S. Pentagon.
Brander Group reports active IPv4 market with many clients seeking to purchase IPv4 spaces. Despite a decline in ARIN’s total IPv4 transfer requests, Brander Group continues to lead, supplying 40% of IPv4 subnets. The recent Omicron variant may affect future supply.
While we have had a strong run and increase in IPv4 demand over the previous 3-4 months, October seemed to have slowed down a bit. The total number of IPv4 transfer requests in ARIN dropped to 143, which is down -16% from 171 requests in September and -12% from the 163 average requests over the course of 2021.
September IPv4 market trends have been very positive compared to what we saw as the average of the previous 3 months. Signs of life from IPv4 buyers are visible based on the increase of IPv4 transfers requested again from 167 in August to 171 in September.
The month of August 2021 seems to have finally showed a positive trend in the IPv4 transfer market. Figures for IPv4 transfers requested, indicating demand, and transfers completed, indicating supply, have returned to the values we saw at the beginning of the year.